Friday 22 March 2013




Queer Economy manipulates CAD Foreseeable

Royal Bank of Canada (RBC), Canada’s largest bank forecasted that Canadian economy may do outperforms in their next two years yet the Canadian Dollars won’t spectacles such hope.

The RBC is planning to uplift the growth rates of 1.8%, 2.9% for 2013 and 2014 respectively, which is better than the consensus estimated from Federal Finance Minister Jim Flaberty, published on 21 of this month.

Retail sales, manufacturing sales and whole sales are the major events this week. This Tuesday, Canadian Manufacturing Sector released 3.1% which indicates a dull activity. Economists expect a mild decline of 0.4% and a gain of 0.5%. On the same day, Canadian Wholesale Trade contracted more than they anticipated in December. They predicted 0.4% but it devolved around 0.9%. Retail sales plunged upon 2.1% i.e. 38.62 billion Canadian Dollars, the biggest decline since April 2010. Anyway Retail Sales are expected to rise 0.6% which predicts 0.4% as gain.

Canadian Dollar seems to be always parity over U.S Dollar. The CAD fluctuated as gaining’s for the last three days, after the declaration that Canada and U.S created more jobs than all expects. Canada created 50,700 jobs whereas U.S created 236,000 jobs which make the unemployment rates lower.

Canada’s inflation remains low, the Bank of Canada shifts to a neutral bias and kept their interest rates at low record. The reduced Bank of Canada interest rate increased the demand for Canadian Financial assets and may led the CAD to the below parity level compared to  USD.
 
U.S is the Canada’s largest trade partner. If the U.S economy recovers at a faster pace, Canada could also benefits from the strengthening of its biggest importer. By expecting more jobs, Unemployment rate tend to attain below seven percent by the end of this year.

 The Canadian dollar is likely to ride on an excellent jobs report. 1.6 percent growth rate, unemployment rate and trading partner, Loonie’s manipulates it to be as bullish.



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